Netanyahu has been trying to lure the US into bombing Iran on its behalf for decades. Now it has happened and God help us all
In yesterday’s podcast, Scott Ritter warned that Trump had already made the decision and it was just a matter of time. All of which brings us to Israel’s current claims about Iran's nuclear capabilities. The alarmist rhetoric about immediate nuclear weapon production lacks crucial technical evidence and is now pushing the U.S. into another costly and unjustified war.
If feels great to flex our biceps and cheer, but this isn’t a sports match. Aside from the immediate threat to US forces in the region, the long-term ramifications go deeper than anyone seems to realize. This attack will encourage other nations to develop nuclear weapons. It will encourage violence against Americans around the world, up to and including a dirty bomb.
Today’s bombing of three nuclear sites was completely unnecessary. Netanyahu has been saying Iran was “weeks away” from a bomb for 30 years.
It’s a 30-year lie.
The complexities of nuclear weapon development beyond enriched uranium, lends credence to the manipulation of Trump into a trap.
Before getting into the complexities, let’s first examine the history of US "False Flag" operations and pretexts for war.
Gulf of Tonkin Incident (1964): This is presented as "the infamous false flag that triggered the Vietnam War." The US Navy reported attacks on the USS Maddox, leading President Johnson to gain congressional authorization for military action. However, "In 2003, former Johnson administration secretary of state Robert McNamara admitted that the attack on the Maddox never took place. In 2005, declassified files revealed that the National Security Agency deliberately distorted intelligence on the incident to justify intervention." This highlights the deliberate manipulation of intelligence to justify conflict.
USS Maine (1898): The explosion of the USS Maine in Havana harbor was immediately blamed on Spain, leading to the Spanish-American War and the US acquisition of Spanish colonies. A 1976 investigation suggested "spontaneous combustion of the ship’s coal bunkers," and in Cuba, it's "widely held that the US government deliberately blew up the USS Maine to justify the seizure of Spain’s overseas territories." This case demonstrates a pattern of swift blame attribution followed by military action leading to territorial gains.
Invasions Based on Fabricated Threats:
Dominican Republic (1965): The pretext was the danger to US citizens from a leftist government, but the true motive was "to prevent another Cuba – i.e. an independent Caribbean nation outside the US orbit."
Grenada (1983): The alleged danger to 600 American medical students was the stated reason for invasion. Years later, it emerged "that the students were never hostages, or in any real danger, and that the Reagan administration had deliberately barred them from leaving the island by cutting its transport links to neighboring countries." These cases illustrate the use of humanitarian pretexts to achieve geopolitical objectives, specifically preventing "Cuba-friendly" governments.
Panama (1989): Operation Just Cause, ostensibly to depose Manuel Noriega and protect Americans, was authorized after a US Marine was killed under "questionable circumstances." Some historians question whether this was a "false flag designed to replace Noriega with a more pliable client." This suggests the use of localized incidents as a casus belli for broader regime change.
Yugoslavia (1990s): NATO operations were justified by "alleged rights violations and war crimes targeting civilians." The 1999 bombing campaign was initiated after claims of a "massacre of Kosovar Albanians in the village of Recak." However, a "2001 forensic report cast doubt on the massacre claims," and Serbia has never accepted the justification. This points to the use of unverified atrocity claims to justify military intervention and subsequent occupation.
Iraq (2003): Secretary of State Colin Powell's presentation of an "anthrax vial representing Iraq’s alleged weapons of mass destruction program" preceded the invasion. It was later "conclusively revealed that Iraq did not have WMDs." Powell blamed "dishonest actors in US intelligence," highlighting the reliance on faulty or fabricated intelligence to initiate a devastating war. The document notes that this war "cost thousands of lives, almost three trillion dollars to the present, destabilized a region, and damaged U.S. credibility for decades."
Syria (2017/2018): US and allied strikes were justified by "claims that the Syrian government had used chemical weapons against civilians." However, "whistleblowers stepped forward to reveal that an Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons report on the 2018 attack covered up evidence casting doubt on Syria’s responsibility for the crime." This shows a continued pattern of using unproven allegations to justify limited military action and ongoing sanctions.
Unrealized False Flag Plots:
Operation Northwoods (1962): A Defense Department and CIA proposal "to stage a series of terrorist acts – from murders and ship sinkings to bombings of American cities, and blame it on Cuba to justify an invasion." This was rejected by President Kennedy, but its existence (revealed in 1997) demonstrates the extreme measures considered by US agencies to generate pretexts for war.
The Iranian Nuclear Program: Debunking "On the Brink" Claims
Key Facts:
Beyond Enriched Uranium: The core argument is that "Enriched uranium—even at weapons-grade levels—is only one component of a long, technically demanding process required to create a functional nuclear bomb." White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's claim that "Iran has all that it needs to achieve a nuclear weapon … and it would take a couple weeks to complete the production of that weapon" is explicitly labeled as "misinformation—and it risks pushing the United States into a hasty and unjustified war."
Essential Components for a Nuclear Weapon: US experts and declassified intelligence assessments outline several critical elements beyond Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) that Iran has not demonstrably mastered:
Precision Shaping: Uranium must be "machined into a flawless sphere, requiring high-end metallurgy and computing."
Explosive Lenses: "Carefully placed charges must detonate simultaneously to compress the core—a method called implosion."
Trigger Mechanisms: Detonators must be "precisely synchronized; even a microsecond delay renders the weapon ineffective."
Reflectors and Tampers: Elements like beryllium are required to "maintain compression and sustain the chain reaction."
Weaponization: The bomb must be "ruggedized into a functional assembly, including casing and electronics that can survive delivery." This is identified as "the most difficult hurdle—weaponization—remains the most classified and technically advanced part of the entire process."
Delivery Systems: The weapon must be "fitted onto a missile, aircraft, or another platform capable of reaching its target."
Additional components include "a neutron initiator to trigger the chain reaction, precision fusing and arming systems, and reentry vehicle technology." A "credible nuclear arsenal also demands sub-critical testing infrastructure."
Lack of Credible Evidence for Weaponization: Despite Israeli warnings, the "International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and U.S. intelligence assessments have not publicly corroborated any progress toward assembling a usable bomb." The Fordow facility, described as an "enrichment plant," is "too deep to strike easily, but also too constrained to test, assemble, or launch a nuclear weapon."
Historical Precedent of Alarmism: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's warnings about Iran's nuclear timeline are not new. His 2012 prediction that Iran would have bomb material in "six or seven months" "never materialized. No bomb was built. No red line crossed." This "offers a lesson in how worst-case scenarios, not verified facts, can drive the conversation."
Warning Against Repeating Past Mistakes: The evidence shows a direct parallel to the 2003 Iraq War: "We have been here before. In 2003, the U.S. invaded Iraq over weapons of mass destruction that did not exist. That war cost thousands of lives, almost three trillion dollars to the present, destabilized a region, and damaged U.S. credibility for decades.
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